“Hyperadoption” – Bitcoin’s Not-So-Secret Weapon Is Having a Breakout Year
The Lightning Network is taking Bitcoin to a whole new level.
If you haven’t heard of it, that’s OK. Lightning is a “Layer 2” technology built on top of Bitcoin. Its purpose is to make Bitcoin payments faster and cheaper while increasing capacity (the number of transactions processed by the network).
While the Lightning Network isn’t new – work on it started in 2016 – it’s only been over the past year or so that it’s gained serious traction.
This matters for several reasons.
For one thing, Lightning is one more example disproving the idea pushed by critics that Bitcoin is an old, static technology. Bitcoin has had several upgrades over the years, including as Segwit in 2017 and Taproot last year.
More importantly, Lightning makes it possible for Bitcoin to function as a usable currency on a large scale. Bitcoin, as designed, works as a currency, but if too many people are using it transactions get backlogged and fees skyrocket. The Lightning Network makes it possible for large number of people to use Bitcoin as much as they want, with low fees and near-instant transactions. This is absolutely essential for the continuing rapid, mass adoption of Bitcoin.
Finally, a better, more usable Bitcoin adds to demand… which is absolutely essential for higher and higher Bitcoin prices.
Today I’m going to give a brief overview of how the Lightning Network works and go over the many signs of accelerating adoption.
What You Need to Know About the Lightning Network
Lightning’s roots go all the way back to Bitcoin creator Satoshi Nakamoto. Elements of the basic idea of a payment channel separate from the main network were part of the draft code for Bitcoin back in 2009.
Later, Nakamoto discussed the idea in more detail in private emails with then-Bitcoin developer Mike Hearn.
But implementing off-chain payment channels was easier said than done. No one got serious about it until 2015, when two researchers, Thaddeus Dryja and Joseph Poon, published a whitepaper called “The Bitcoin Lightning Network.” Soon after that, developers started working on writing code to make Lightning a reality.
In January 2016 the Lightning Labs startup was founded, which ever since has been the primary engine behind development of the technology.
Here’s a brief outline of how it works:
And because the transactions don’t actually occur on the Bitcoin network, fees are negligible – about 1 “satoshi,” or 0.00000001 bitcoin ($0.0003).
This may seem very limiting until you realize that most participants maintain multiple payment channels with other people on the network. So, two people using the Lightning Network don’t necessarily need to have their own channel. The network can route the transaction through other channels until it reaches the destination party.
The results of the transactions in a payment channel gets sent to the Bitcoin blockchain only when the channel is closed. But while the channel remains open, it can conduct an unlimited number of transactions.
This is how Lightning adds almost unlimited scalability to Bitcoin. Instant payments at virtually no cost adds a powerful new use case to Bitcoin’s arsenal.
Compare that to credit cards, which charge merchants an “interchange fee” of between 1.5% and 3% on every transaction. And the merchants typically pass that fee on to consumers in the form of higher prices.
Lightning gives Bitcoin a real chance to steal payments market share from the credit cards.
It’s an idea whose time has come…
Lightning Network Adoption Is Taking Off
When you think of the usefulness of any network, adoption is key. The more people using it, the more beneficial the network is for the users. That’s what people mean by the term “network effect.”
Think of a much older technology, such as the telephone. In its early days, if you were one of the few people who owned a telephone, it would have been fun but not particularly useful. But as more people obtained phones, the network effect kicked in. Telephones brought the unprecedented ability to have real-time discussions with others regardless of distance.
As adoption of Lightning ramps up, the tech becomes more powerful. That’s what’s happening now.
According to a recent report from Arcane Research, the dollar value of payments on the Lightning Network exploded 410% from the first quarter of 2021 to the first quarter of 2022. Meanwhile, the number of payments made nearly doubled. (see chart)
Another measure of Lightning’s growth, network capacity (the maximum amount of Bitcoin that can be sent through the network), has nearly quadrupled over the past year from a little over 1,000 BTC to close to 4,000 BTC.
As the Lightning Network becomes more capable, it has attracted the attention of a lot of payments companies.
This is key, because few individuals will seek out the technology. But if a company they have a relationship with simply offers Lightning as a feature, many are likely to use it.
With adoption by companies making Lightning available to millions of new users, the network effect to bound to accelerate even faster.
Lightning Is Going Mainstream
The impact of company adoption of Lightning technology cannot be overstated.
The Arcane report estimated that as of August of last year, just 100,000 people had access to the
Lightning Network. By March of this year, that number had exploded to 80 million people.
That’s an 800x increase in just seven months.
Take a look at these developments, most of which have happened in just the past few months:
- Paxful (Sept. 2021) – This New York-based peer-to-peer exchange announced that it was making Lightning available to its 7 million users.
- Cash App (Feb. 2022) – Block, the payments company formerly known as Square, added Lightning integration to its Cash App mobile payment service. Cash App had 80 million active users worldwide as of March.
- Chiro wallet (Feb. 2022) – Chiro is the wallet El Salvador chose when it made Bitcoin legal tender last year. However, early problems with the wallet led the company to enlist the services of AlphaPoint in February. AlphaPoint now provides the front- and back-end infrastructure for Chiro. That included integration with the Lightning Network. Chiro has more than 4 million users.
- Kraken (April 2022) – San Francisco-based crypto exchange Kraken added Lightning support. Kraken has more than 6 million customers.
- BitPay (April 2022) – Payment services provider BitPay announced Lightning Network support. BitPay’s services allow merchants to accept cryptocurrencies. BitPay’s clients include more than 250 companies and stores.
- Robinhood (April 2022) – Popular investing app Robinhood said it had added support for the Lightning Network. About 22 million people use Robinhood’s crypto products.
- Stripe (May 2022) – The Stripe payments platform ended its support for Bitcoin in 2018 due to rising fees and slow transaction times. Now it has restored Bitcoin support via a partnership with OpenNode, a Bitcoin payment processor. As a Lightning Network pioneer, OpenNode uses the tech on its platform. Stripe is thought to have about 2 million customers.
Note that most of these events occurred after the 80 million figure cited above. Millions more have access to Lightning now, and that number will continue to rise rapidly.
And as more people use Lightning, more people will be using Bitcoin. That not only strengthens the case for Bitcoin, it creates a price catalyst by driving higher demand.
For investors, the accelerating growth of the Lightning Network has emerged as one of the most powerful arguments for owning at least a little Bitcoin.
Follow me on Twitter @DavidGZeiler.
Hi Mr. Black,
Good day to you Sir! Hey, I just have a question about the: Lightning Network? If you could please let me know what the ticker is for Lightning, I would be very thankfukl! Truly! It should be good & a wild ride!!! Take care! Mr. Crum…
I am a money map press member
the AICI network is also growing at an exponential or shall we say
” LIGHTNING ” pace.