Here’s The Thing About the Crypto Rally
“Bitcoin rally…” “Ethereum rally…” “Bitcoin prices are soaring…” “Bitcoin rises…”
Those are the exact words you’ll find if you google “crypto rally” right now – headlines from CNBC, Barron’s, CoinDesk, Bloomberg, what have you.
And, you know, on the surface it’s certainly true. Bitcoin (BTC) is up around 17% for the past month, and Ether is up more than 42%. I mean, in the dictionary under “rally,” that’s what you get.
But, I’ve been around the block a few times. Not only that, but I’ve got 100% of my capital in crypto. So, I have to feel a little differently about this than the herd and its mainstream media cheerleaders.
And I think you should, too.
Here’s what’s up, and what to do about it…
What’s Really Happening Now in Crypto
Anyone who’s bought and sold stocks knows a “relief rally,” and if you’ve done it long enough, you recognize a bear market rally, too.
To be blunt, that’s what we’re seeing now. What we’re getting here is a break from a long, deep sell-off.
Nine months ago, Bitcoin was closing in on $70,000, so, while it’s nice to get back to $23,000, and it’d be great to see $25,000, what we’re really getting here is the market breathing a big sigh of relief that Bitcoin didn’t break down to $10,000 – that was a real possibility a few weeks ago.
We’ve also had June jobs data that didn’t suck, and a simultaneous relief rally in stocks, so it makes sense we’re getting one in crypto right now. (I know, crypto orthodoxy says coins don’t correlate with stocks, but you calls ’em like you sees ’em.)
But there are a couple of things out there that could stop the relief rally before it has a chance to become an actual trend.
I’m talking about Gas (GAS) a hyped-up new “ecosystem” (watch out for that word). 14 million GAS tokens are set to hit the market, as part of the “China-focused” NEO blockchain that “wants to become the backbone of the global digital economy.”
It sounds pretty gross.
They’re calling it “Chinese Ethereum,” and the project is crap – the whitepaper is Buzzword Bingo. The homepage ticks all the requisite hype boxes: Digital assets? Check. Smart contracts? Check. Ecosystem? Check. Disrupt? Check. “Sister coin?” Check. Bingo.
If this were 2021, I think people would fall for this hook, line, and sinker, just like they did Celsius and 3AC.
If there’s a silver lining to the contagion, it’s that people might be savvier now – they sure ought to be – but Gas’ impact hasn’t been priced into the market yet.
So, no, I don’t really trust this particular rally, and I, broadly speaking, I don’t think anybody else should, either. It’s great if you write headlines for a living, but you’ve got to see it differently if you own crypto for a living.
That’s not to say some coins won’t continue to climb higher – particularly over the long-term. I don’t think Bitcoin’s “there” yet, and I don’t think we’re headed toward crypto spring right now.
The smart thing to do here is carefully harvest profits where you have them. If you’re like me, and you have a carefully balanced portfolio, consider skimming some cream from your biggest performers right now, and put it towards some quality under-performers – coins you really believe in that are lagging a bit behind the curve.
Thank you’very much long life Full name is abdi Mohamed muktar.
Thank you for this inside information. You are really
an amazing help for us amateurs to understand the difference between a sustailney rally , or just a sight of releif after rhe crypto crash the last 6 months. Nick
I would ĺike to ask you a question which I”ll be very grateful to get an answer. Me and my son bought a crypto named Looks rare with your recomendation , as we are also members of Money map report , Alternative Wealth network , Passport fellowship with Tom Gentile ext…..
Looks rare was up almost at 3 $ and we bought it for 1 $ . Unfortunately as many newbis we didn’t take any profit. We acted stupidly thinking if we wait more we might get a better price as Looks rare hade his Alth of 7$.
You probably know that in November ,December 2021 Looks collapsed totally as most of our crypto. We lost a lot of money and we are still in a state of Shock.
My question to you Nick is do you think that Looks rare will come back again ? At least if we could collect the money we invested in ? I would be very grateful to get your opinion and afvice. Many thanks in advance. I”ll be listening to you today during this hour
from 11.0 E Maybe you can give me an answer what to do ? If not I”ll leave my email which you have already as I am a member with several programs of yours. Here is my mail firstname.lastname@example.org .
Many thanks again
And my best regards from SPAIN .
You are very welcome. To answer your question; in the next Bull run All cryptos will go high so accumulate what you can afford now.
I believe in you, Nick that you are right on the money here. It is just a hiccup after a large meal. Should we wait a couple of days to see if this goes up or down then buy some more or just go ahead and buy because it will eventually go up.
Yes it will.
Good information. Things have already dropped off. I’ll try it next time to fund other coins.
I’ve heard at least one other crypto commentator say, that typically, in a mid-term election year, the stock market does very poorly in September. Is it possible we could see Bitcoin return to $20k (or below?) in September, based upon prior historical performance for BTC?
No one can predict any crypto price but Bitcoin could go lower than 20k.
Thanks Nick. I’m up over 100% on Matic. Just sold 50%
Good to know. I always appreciate pro guidance.
I got you
If MT GOX will hit BTC, I expect that will also affect other coins. Should we wait until then, or should we fill up our portfolio now? Or do perhaps 50%? or what? Thanks!
DCA your way into these positions. As the price drops accumulate more.